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Traveler

Member Since 07 August 2011 - 02:05 PM
Offline Last Active May 24 2019 09:49 AM
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Posts I've Made

In Topic: Democratic House Investigations of Donald Trump & His Criminal Associates

24 May 2019 - 09:36 AM

One of my favorite words from my sojourn in Oz.

In Topic: Trump on Trade ... Stupidity and Childish Continue

24 May 2019 - 09:35 AM

From what I gather, trump was itching to impose sanctions on Huawei many months ago. That is the real nuclear option, and has ramifications all over the world, none of which are very good at all. He held off while the talks seemed to be going somewhere. When the Chinese welshed, this got put on the front burner.

This is a much better bargaining chip than his looking into releasing Meng (which was a separate justified DoJ action). There are good reasons either way. Showing China its reliance on US tech is a good lesson. If holding off actually moves the needle toward actual reforms, there are considerable benefits to doing so.

In Topic: Former UK ambassador says Syrian Chemical Attacks were Staged - BBC interview.

22 May 2019 - 07:11 AM

George, all very valid concerns. Indeed, nobody picked up on this except the Grauniad. Shame we have so much other bullshit to plow through these days that it falls off everyone's radar. Thanks for the link.

In Topic: CHINA

21 May 2019 - 07:58 AM

Today's news is about Chinese pension funding. In 3 images.
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By the end of 2018, 17.9 per cent of China’s population, or 250 million people, were 60 years or older, an increase of 8.6 million from a year earlier, according to figures from the National Bureau of Statistics published in January. Some 11.9 per cent, or 167 million people, were above 65. Based on a forecast made in 2015 by the China National Committee on Ageing, the number of people above 60 will peak at 487 million in 2053, accounting for 34.8 per cent of the total population.

“Each of us young people has to now provide, on average, for 0.41 of an elderly person and a child, besides for ourselves,” wrote Liang Zhonghua, chief macro researcher for Zhongtai Securities, who is 31 years old, in a recent research report.

“But by 2030, each young person will have to provide for an average of 0.5 elderly and child. By 2050, the ratio will increase to 0.8, double the rate now,” he said.

“The burden will become heavier and heavier.”
Peak worker happened in 2013-2016, now declining.

ETA: It's a little different here.

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As the population ages, the ratio of older adults to working-age adults, also known as the old-age dependency ratio, is projected to rise. By 2020, there will be about three-and-a-half working-age adults for every retirement-age person. By 2060, that ratio will fall to just two-and-a-half working-age adults for every retirement-age person.
. So that is 1.25:1 in 2050 there, vs. 2.5:1 in 2060 here. Adjusting for the years, that is over twice as many oldsters.

In Topic: Voter ID Laws Are Completely Unnecessary

21 May 2019 - 07:51 AM

View PostJackD, on 20 May 2019 - 05:44 PM, said:

"He is not a judicial lightweight." Have you ever read his opinions?
Of course not. I couldn't tell even if I did. I am going by what my nephew said, who clerked for him for a couple of years. Apparently he was very respected by all of the clerks, and believe it or not, he was actually quite a raconteur. I respect my nephew greatly, but that does not necessarily mean he is a heavyweight.

Indeed, his record is pretty dismal according to Toobin. He is prone to writing dissenting opinions for the sake of getting them out there as "precedents".

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Authorship is not the only measure of influence, and in dissenting and concurring opinions Thomas has introduced certain conservative ideas into the bloodstream of Supreme Court opinions that have later commanded majorities. In a concurrence in Printz v. United States, in 1997, Thomas suggested that the Second Amendment confers on individuals a right to bear arms, which the Court had never before held. Eleven years later, in Justice Antonin Scalia’s opinion in Heller v. District of Columbia, that view became the law of the land. Similarly, in a separate opinion in McIntyre v. Ohio Elections Commission, in 1995, Thomas laid some of the intellectual groundwork for the Citizens United decision and the Court’s deregulation of political campaigns. These cases, however, are exceptions. For the most part, Thomas has been on a Court of his own.